From "Risks Related to our Business," 2011 PEIX 10-K...
"The results of operations of the Pacific Ethanol Plants and their ability to operate at a profit is largely dependent on managing the spreads among the prices of corn, natural gas, ethanol and WDG, the prices of which are subject to significant volatility and uncertainty."
If only 2006 wasn't the peak...
"In early 2006, the spread between ethanol and corn prices was at an historically high level, driven in large part by oil companies removing a competitive product, methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE), from the fuel stream and replacing it with ethanol in a relatively short time period. However, since that time, this spread has fluctuated widely and narrowed significantly. Fluctuations are likely to continue to occur."
Terrifying chart for PEIX investors...
Extracted from CBOT/CRB's 7/9/12 Ethanol Outlook Report, this chart bluntly exhibits the soaring input costs (corn) alongside near-month ethanol futures. Sep corn prices +36% in just 3 weeks, touching a 10-month high of $7.14. Severe heat and drought conditions have shattered the summer's corn supply outlook: Sep ethanol-corn margin remains negative at -11.5c/gallon.
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